Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 1.722814 1.978216 2.262837 2.604311 3.003886 3.457865 4.014453
2025-03-23 1.312254 1.644802 2.053145 2.594852 3.299694 4.192617 5.420397
2025-03-30 1.077310 1.430105 1.891973 2.547500 3.464581 4.717748 6.586928
2025-04-06 0.944534 1.313493 1.822399 2.586070 3.721143 5.374802 8.019959
2025-04-13 0.818123 1.181968 1.705911 2.529554 3.817873 5.800117 9.168212
2025-04-20 0.757526 1.134036 1.698525 2.625727 4.148343 6.617534 11.067268
2025-04-27 0.683887 1.055516 1.632385 2.616761 4.303680 7.169500 12.613028
2025-05-04 0.641008 1.018697 1.624904 2.698317 4.616074 8.026803 14.853946
2025-05-11 0.591586 0.964906 1.582232 2.712249 4.808681 8.696294 16.862930
2025-05-18 0.548450 0.916393 1.541962 2.723292 4.994302 9.376411 19.018615
2025-05-25 0.496558 0.847210 1.457943 2.643078 4.993818 9.692262 20.467607
2025-06-01 0.461999 0.804903 1.416781 2.637200 5.136030 10.313311 22.704279
2025-06-08 0.420544 0.750561 1.356174 2.603324 5.253633 10.982655 25.408451
2025-06-15 0.385124 0.704535 1.307804 2.591888 5.428474 11.839424 28.876084
2025-06-22 0.350454 0.655572 1.247080 2.544665 5.514865 12.510254 32.060642
2025-06-29 0.328928 0.629553 1.228221 2.583185 5.801953 13.718414 37.059019
2025-07-06 0.300779 0.587048 1.170403 2.526739 5.854134 14.353540 40.624679
2025-07-13 0.289177 0.577032 1.179148 2.622793 6.297742 16.105405 48.140974
2025-07-20 0.269969 0.548900 1.145454 2.613838 6.472541 17.169249 53.839278
2025-07-27 0.259469 0.538259 1.148915 2.695293 6.901897 19.058274 63.021214
2025-08-03 0.245010 0.517369 1.126691 2.709208 7.149586 20.472495 71.061302
2025-08-10 0.231642 0.497534 1.104601 2.720236 7.392000 21.933264 79.869997
2025-08-17 0.213833 0.465807 1.050900 2.640122 7.353004 22.484043 85.292548